Rabu, 23 November 2016

TUGAS ANALISIS REGRESI PERTEMUAN 8


Lakukan prediksi CHOL dengan variabel independen TRIG, UM dan UM kuadrat.
a.       Hitung SS for Regression (X3 | X1, X2)
b.      Hitung SS for Residual
c.       Hitung Means SS for Regression (X3 | X1, X2)
d.      Hitung Means SS for Residual
e.       Hitung nilai F parsial
f.       Hitung nilai r2
g.       Buktikan bahwa penambahan X3 berperan dalam meprediksi Y.
UM
CHOL
TRIG
40
218
194
46
265
188
69
197
134
44
188
155
41
217
191
56
240
207
48
222
155
49
244
235
41
190
167
38
209
186
36
208
179
39
214
129
59
238
220
56
219
155
44
241
201
37
212
140
40
244
132
32
217
140
56
227
279
49
218
101
50
241
213
46
234
168
52
231
242
51
297
142
46
230
240
60
258
173
47
243
175
58
236
199
66
193
201
52
193
193
55
319
191
58
212
216
41
209
154
60
224
198
50
184
129
48
222
115
49
229
148
39
204
164
40
211
104
47
230
218
67
230
239
57
222
183
50
213
190
43
238
259
55
234
156

Model  1 : CHOL = β0 + β1 TRIG
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.203a
.041
.019
25.273


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
1181.676
1
1181.676
1.850
.181a
Residual
27464.768
43
638.716


Total
28646.444
44





Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
203.123
17.156

11.840
.000
Trigliserida
.127
.093
.203
1.360
.181

Model  2 : CHOL = β0 + β1 UM

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.151a
.023
.000
25.514
a. Predictors: (Constant), Umur


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
655.625
1
655.625
1.007
.321a
Residual
27990.819
43
650.949


Total
28646.444
44



a. Predictors: (Constant), Umur
b. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
204.048
22.093

9.236
.000
Umur
.445
.444
.151
1.004
.321
a. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Model  3 : CHOL = β0 + β1 UMSQ
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.118a
.014
-.009
25.632
a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ

ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
396.227
1
396.227
.603
.442a
Residual
28250.217
43
656.982


Total
28646.444
44



a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ
b. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol

Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
217.420
11.555

18.816
.000
UMSQ
.003
.004
.118
.777
.442
a. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Model  4 : CHOL = β0 + β1 TRIG + β2 UM

Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.224a
.050
.005
25.452
a. Predictors: (Constant), Umur, Trigliserida


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
1437.719
2
718.860
1.110
.339a
Residual
27208.725
42
647.827


Total
28646.444
44



a. Predictors: (Constant), Umur, Trigliserida
b. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
192.155
24.554

7.826
.000
Trigliserida
.108
.098
.173
1.099
.278
Umur
.292
.464
.099
.629
.533
a. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Model  5 : CHOL = β0 + β1 TRIG + β2 UMSQ
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.212a
.045
.000
25.520
a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ, Trigliserida

ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
1292.618
2
646.309
.992
.379a
Residual
27353.826
42
651.282


Total
28646.444
44



a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ, Trigliserida
b. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol

Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
200.525
18.433

10.879
.000
Trigliserida
.115
.098
.185
1.173
.247
UMSQ
.002
.005
.065
.413
.682
a. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol

Model  5 : CHOL = β0 + β1 TRIG + β2 UM + β3 UMSQ
Model Summary
Model
R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the Estimate
1
.378a
.143
.080
24.475
a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ, Trigliserida, Umur


ANOVAb
Model
Sum of Squares
df
Mean Square
F
Sig.
1
Regression
4086.344
3
1362.115
2.274
.094a
Residual
24560.100
41
599.027


Total
28646.444
44



a. Predictors: (Constant), UMSQ, Trigliserida, Umur
b. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol


Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized Coefficients
Standardized Coefficients

B
Std. Error
Beta
t
Sig.
1
(Constant)
-21.969
104.532

-.210
.835
Trigliserida
.079
.095
.126
.825
.414
Umur
9.220
4.269
3.132
2.160
.037
UMSQ
-.088
.042
-3.035
-2.103
.042
a. Dependent Variable: Cholesterol








No.
Model Estimasi
F
r2
1
Y =  203.123 + 0.127 TRIG
(.093)
1.850
.041
2
Y = 204.048 + 0.445 UM
(.444)
1.007
.023
3
Y = 217.420 + 0.003 UMSQ
(.004)
0.603
.014
4
Y = 192.155 + 0.108 TRIG + 0.292 UM
(.098) (.464)
1.110
.050
5
Y = 200.525 + 0.115 TRIG + .002 UMSQ
(.098)  (.005)
0.992
.045
6
Y =  -21.969 + 0.079 TRIG + 9.220 UM + -0.088 UMSQ
2.274
.143

Dari ke enam model estimasi terlihat bahwa variable TRIG secara konsisten sangan berpengaruh terhadap CHOL (p<0.05). pada model estimasi 1 tampak nilai r2 sebesar .041 dan bila dibandingkan dengan model estimasi 4,5, dan 6 penambahan r2 relatif kecil masing-masing .050, .045 dan .143 atau hanya bertambah sekitar .009, .004, dan .102,ini sangat tidak berarti.
Dengan demikian kita bisa berkesimpulan TRIG sangat bermakna pengaruhnya terhadap CHOL. Sebaliknya penambahan variable UM dab UMSQ tidak berperan dalam menjelaskan variasi CHOL dan kita tidak perlu menambajkan kdua variable tersebut ke dalam model. Model akhir yaitu :  Y =  203.123 + 0.127 TRIG



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